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8 Kiselv 5767 - November 29, 2006 | Mordecai Plaut, director Published Weekly
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NEWS
Cease-Fire in Gaza

by M Plaut and Yated Ne'eman Staff

A cease-fire in Gaza began at 06:00 Sunday, November 26. PA Chairman Abbas told Prime Minister Olmert that all Palestinian organizations have committed to it and said that he expects that Israel will halt its military activity in the Gaza Strip in response and will withdraw its forces from the Strip. Palestinian Authority (PA) Chairman Mahmoud Abbas claimed that he had reached agreement with all Palestinian factions to halt all violent actions from the Gaza Strip including rocket fire, the digging of tunnels, and the dispatch of suicide terrorists.

At press time the cease-fire did not apply to the West Bank. Though there were reports of an attempt to have it apply there as well, the IDF continued with its "routine" operations to stop terror over there.

Prime Minister Olmert consulted with Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni, Defense Minister Amir Peretz, and other ministers, and with senior security establishment commanders, and informed PA Chairman Abbas that since Israel's activity in the Gaza Strip was only in response to terrorist actions, if there is a cease-fire Israel will halt its military actions and withdraw its forces from the Gaza Strip.

By Sunday morning Israel had withdrawn all of its forces from the Gaza Strip.

PM Olmert hopes that this will bring about a more general improvement in the security and political condition of the region.

Israel is knowingly undertaking the risk that the terrorist organizations will exploit the cease-fire to rearm and to rebuild their infrastructure.

On Sunday, about two hours after the cease fire went into effect, five Kassam rockets were fired from the Gaza Strip at Sderot and communities in the Western Negev.

In response to that and further attacks on Monday, it was announced that the IDF will target rocket crews preparing to attack Israel. For some reason this was not part of Israel's original stance.

Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni said that if Kassam rockets are about to be fired at Israel, "Israel must intercept them." She also said, "Both Abu Mazen and the most moderate in the Palestinian Authority understand that the unconditional release of prisoners which was possible before the kidnapping of Gilad Shalit has become conditional on the release of Gilad Shalit."

Prime Minister Ehud Olmert is apparently hoping that the truce will conditions for the return of Cpl. Gilad Shalit, and set in motion a new peace dynamic.

"The cease-fire is only a stage in a process we hope will lead to negotiations and dialogue, and perhaps bring about an agreement between us and the Palestinians," Olmert declared. In a well-publicized address, Olmert said that he is ready to free many prisoners, and to uproot settlements from the West Bank in exchange for peace, which he defined as meeting the conditions set by the Quartet: renouncing terror, recognition of Israel and acceptance of past agreements. He also said that the Palestinians will have to give up the right to enter and live in Israel proper, which the Palestinians call the "right of return," even though very few were ever here in the first place.

The Israel Defense Forces has serious reservations, arguing that Palestinian terrorists will abuse the cease-fire to build up their military power for new attacks on Israel. They fear a lull will create a situation similar to that in southern Lebanon, where Hizbullah militiamen exploited six years of quiet to create a formidable military force.

The Israeli left backs the government's approach.

The Israeli right sees folly. Right wing spokesmen also said that Olmert lacks the political power to carry out dismantlement of settlements, and his statements did not worry them.

Relative moderates from the Fatah movement emphasize the possibility of significant diplomatic progress, while spokesmen from Hamas tend to highlight the temporary nature of the lull, and emphasize their unwillingness to give up their arms. Hamas' leader Khaled Meshaal warned of a return to intifadah violence unless the parties achieve comprehensive peace within six months.

Some attribute the timing to the heavy military pressure the IDF has been exerting on the Palestinians. In the past few months, hundreds of Palestinian militants have been killed in Israeli operations in Gaza.

The Palestinians also were aware that the Israeli army was pressing for a large-scale offensive in Gaza along the lines of 2002's Operation Defensive Shield, which gave Israel the upper hand in the fight against terror in the West Bank. The cease-fire preempted any such military plan.

The Israeli government was under intense pressure to do something to stop Palestinian rocket fire on Sderot and other communities.

Speaking at a memorial for Israel's first prime inister, David Ben-Gurion, Olmert made a statement designed to appeal to one of the strongest Palestinian desires: a prisoner exchange.

"With Gilad Shalit's release and his return safe and sound to his family, the Israeli government will be willing to release many Palestinian prisoners, even those who have been sentenced to heavy terms," he declared.

 

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