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16 Shevat 5765 - January 26, 2005 | Mordecai Plaut, director Published Weekly
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NEWS
Quiet in Gaza — For How Long?

by M Plaut and Yated Ne'eman Staff

It has been a quiet week so far in southwest Israel as the deployment of Palestinian Authority police, with the intensive negotiation efforts of Palestinian Authority Chairman Mahmoud Abbas — with great rachamei Shomayim — have produced several days of calm. After beginning patrols in the north of the Gaza Strip, the PA deployed its forces in the southern Gaza Strip near Rafah and Khan Younis on Tuesday.

On Monday there were only a few cases of isolated gunfire and no casualties. There were no Kassams and there was no mortar fire.

Military sources said that Hamas and Islamic Jihad have already ceased their fire, even though it is not yet formalized with the PA. Prime Minister Sharon stresses repeatedly that Israeli is not a party to any cease fire agreement. It is wholly between the Palestinian groups themselves.

Smaller groups such as the Popular Front and the Democratic Front, Abu Rish's breakaway Fatah faction, and the Popular Resistance Committees, which split from Fatah, are being blamed for the few incidents that have taken place. Those groups are apparently moving into areas where the better known groups have ceased activity, and the shooting incidents are seen as attempts to raise the price the PA will have to pay for them to cease their own fire.

On Monday night there was Palestinian fire on Israeli cars traveling on the Kissufim route in the Gaza Strip, but boruch Hashem no one was injured.

There were a few incidents overnight Sunday as well, including two incidents of gunfire.

Israeli leaders are waiting and watching. They have welcomed the quiet, but have warned that progress must be made on other fronts as well, including the incitement that takes place in official PA media.

The weekly Cabinet meeting on Sunday was held in Sderot to express solidarity with its residents and those of the Gaza Strip, who have recently faced increased terrorist assaults. The Cabinet met in the presence of Sderot Mayor Eli Moyal and the members of the Sderot City Council, as well as the chairmen of the regional councils from the area around the Gaza Strip.

At the start of the meeting, Prime Minister Sharon said praised Mayor Moyal and the residents for their fortitude under fire.

Sderot Mayor Moyal commended the Government for holding the weekly Cabinet meeting in Sderot in solidarity with its residents. The chairmen of the Ashkelon Coast, Gaza Strip, Shaar Hanegev, Sdot Hanegev and Eshkol Regional Councils also expressed their gratitude to the Government for its recent actions and also raised several issues.

IDF Chief-of-Staff Lt.-Gen. Moshe Ya'alon briefed ministers on security matters including the calm that has begun to prevail in the area in recent days. He discussed the actions that have been taken by the Palestinian Authority, including the deployment of police personnel in the northern Gaza Strip, in order to prevent the firing of Kassam rockets and mortar shells at Sderot and nearby communities.

Elsewhere, Palestinian Authority Chairman Mahmoud Abbas said that he is close to sealing a cease-fire with militant groups. "Differences have diminished and I hope that there will be a final agreement very soon," Abbas said upon his return to Ramallah on Monday after nearly a week of talks in the Gaza Strip.

PA security sources said they had orders to use all means necessary to stop militants from reaching the border areas and from firing mortars or carrying out attacks.

US Assistant Secretary of State for Near East Affairs William Burns is scheduled to arrive Wednesday for his first visit since the PA election.

Burns is likely to begin by ignoring an issue that is looming on the way into the road map: How to convince Prime Minister Ariel Sharon that a cessation of terror, even if it does not include the physical dismantling of the terrorist organizations, is sufficient PA implementation of its commitments under the road map to warrant Israel to begin implementing its steps.

While the road map calls for dismantling, Abbas has made clear that he has no intention of doing this. Sharon has said on numerous occasions that Israel's steps, dismantling unauthorized settlement outposts and a settlement freeze, will not be taken until the PA dismantles and disarms the terrorist organizations.

Israeli Foreign Minister Silvan Shalom is going to Washington for meetings with Rice, expected to be confirmed as new secretary of state by the end of the week, and her successor as national security adviser, Stephen Hadley. Sharon's senior adviser, Dov Weisglass, is also expected in Washington by the end of the week.

Also on Wednesday, British Prime Minister Tony Blair's primary foreign policy adviser is scheduled to arrive for discussions on the international conference in London expected to deal with preparing the PA for the day after disengagement. That conference is scheduled for March 1.

 

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